Dems Blindsided By Early Poll Results

Democrats face a number of major challenges heading into the highly-anticipated midterm elections this November.

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In a report published this morning by Politico and called, “Dems shaken by early ‘burbs poll,” Democrats suffered a “scared-straight incident in a private House Democratic Caucus meeting the other day.”

“A poll was floated showing Gov. JB Pritzker facing suburban headwinds — even trailing Republican governor candidates Richard Irvin and Darren Bailey. Problem is there was no explanation about which suburb was polled. A source familiar with the data tells Playbook that the burb wasn’t Cook County but conservative and swing-district areas where House Dems are trying to gain traction. That didn’t prevent the gulp some lawmakers had,” the article states.

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“The poll also addressed issues of concern — the top item being crime, surprising anyone. Others familiar with the poll say House Speaker Emanuel “Chris” Welch was trying to light a fire under Democrats to get them on the campaign trail by showing that no contest can be taken for granted. He asked his caucus to keep the numbers private, which didn’t go so well. (Hey, they were scared.) A House Democrats spokesperson did not respond to a request for comment,” Politico continued.

According to a poll conducted by the Wall Street Journal last week, it appears that voters have lost confidence in President Biden and the Democratic Party on critical issues.

Despite Biden’s temporary bump in national approval after defending Ukraine’s sovereignty in his recent State of the Union address, 57% of voters said they disapproved of his job performance amid inflation and high gas prices, according to a Wall Street Journal polling released Friday. The poll, which surveyed 1,500 known registered voters, was conducted online and via phone between March 2 and March 7 and had a 2.5% margin of error.

Voters indicated they no longer trust the Democratic Party to handle COVID-19 and public education issues to the extent as in the WSJ’s previous November 2021 polling. While 41% still believe the Democratic Party is better equipped to handle the nation’s COVID-19 response, only 38% of voters believe the Democrats’ plan improves public education, the poll shows.

When asked about middle-class support, handling inflation, and the struggling American economy, voters gave Biden and the Democratic Party a failing grade. Over 50% of voters said the economy and inflation should immediately be the federal government’s top issue.

The WJS article continued, “More voters said that Republicans had a better plan to improve the economy, 45% to 37%, even though Sen. Mitch McConnell and Rep. Kevin McCarthy, the party’s leaders in each chamber, have advanced few specific economic-policy proposals they would pursue if they controlled Congress.”

“This is a five-alarm fire for the Democratic Party,” Real Clear Politics founder Tom Beaven said.

The results of a poll conducted earlier this year suggested that only 20 percent of Democratic Capitol Hill staffers believe Pelosi and Schumer deserve to continue as party leaders following the 2022 midterms.

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Punchbowl News conducted a survey of senior staffers on Capitol Hill that revealed both the Democratic and Republican sides were open to a change in leadership.

An overwhelming 62 percent of Democratic staffers believe that Democratic leadership should change no matter the result of the elections.

According to the survey:

Another 17 percent said Democratic leadership should only be switched if Democrats do poorly in the midterms.

That compares to 28 percent of Republican aides who said the party’s leaders – House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell – should be replaced regardless of the GOP’s performance in the midterms.

For the Republicans to retake the House majority in the midterm elections next November, they will need a net gain of 5 seats.

Leading Democrats in the House are pressuring rank-and-file members who have announced their intention to resign in advance of what is expected to be a vicious midterm election season for their party to stay in their seats no matter what their political prospects.

Dems are encouraging members who have announced their resignations to run for re-election as part of an effort to stave off what is forecast to be a massive Republican sweep. Biden’s approval ratings continue to drop and Kamala Harris remains incredibly unpopular amid rising inflation and an increasingly turbulent border situation.

Meanwhile, Trump has said that he is ready for 2024.

Ryan Kelly reported for Republic Brief on Sunday:

Donald Trump vowed on Saturday to return to the White House in 2024.

“With the support of everyone in this room, we will take back the House, we will take back the Senate and we will take back our country, and then most importantly in 2024, we are going to take back our beautiful White House,” he said, addressing a crowd of rallygoers at the American Freedom Tour in Fort Lauderdale, Florida.

“You had a president that always put America first,” Trump said, adding “I will be back and we will be better and stronger than ever before.”

The president again claimed to have won the 2020 election during the rally.

“We won twice. We did much better the second time, and we may have to do it again,” he said. Now President Joe Biden won in November 2020, and his election was certified in January last year.

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Since having the election stolen out from under his feet, he’s been teasing a 2024 presidential bid and a return to the White House.

Last year, Trump said he’d easily win the GOP nomination if he runs in the 2024 presidential election.

“I think if I run, I’ll get it,” he said on a Fox Business appearance. “Look, I have a 94, 95 percent, even in the CPAC (Conservative Political Action Conference), I had a 98 percent approval rating. So if I decide to run, I’ll get it very easily.”

“Most people have said if I run, they won’t run against me so I think that’s good,” he added.