HomePoliticsGOP Candidate Just Took Massive Lead Over Dem Incumbent In Swing State

GOP Candidate Just Took Massive Lead Over Dem Incumbent In Swing State

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Less than two weeks before Election Day, the Georgia elections for governor and U.S. senator are dominated by the Republicans.

The survey by Rasmussen Report was performed on Sunday and Monday. The margin of error is three percentage points, and the confidence level is 95%.

The survey of 1,053 Georgia Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports and “The Absolute Truth” with Emerald Robinson on October 23-24, 2022. The sample error margin is +/- 3 percentage points with a confidence level of 95%. Pulse Opinion Research, LLC conducts the fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys.

In addition to prevailing in other statewide contests, Republicans also enjoy a 10-point edge on the generic ballot question, according to a study conducted in Georgia. If congressional elections were conducted today, 49% of Georgia’s Likely Voters would support the Republican candidate, while 39% would support the Democratic candidate. Seven percent would vote for a different candidate, while five percent are uncertain. On the congressional ballot, the GOP enjoys a 19-point edge, 46% to 29%, among unaffiliated voters.

51% of Likely Voters would reelect Republican Gov. Brian Kemp, while 41% would vote for former state Rep. Stacey Abrams in Georgia’s gubernatorial race.

Kemp has increased support from Republican voters and a 17-point margin of victory among independents. Eighty-seven percent (87%) of Republicans would vote for Kemp, while 81% of Democrats would vote for Abrams. However, among unaffiliated voters, Kemp holds a little advantage, 49% to 32%.

The same survey of 1,053 potential Georgia voters provides further positive news for Republican Governor Brian Kemp. His edge over Democratic opponent Stacy Abrams is 51% to 41%. Unaffiliated voters are breaking decisively for the incumbent, 49% to 32%.

49% of respondents indicated they would vote Republican on a generic ballot for Congress, while 39% said they would vote Democrat. In 2020, Democratic President Joe Biden defeated Republican former President Donald Trump by the narrowest of margins, 49.5% to 49.3%; in 2016, Trump easily defeated Democrat Hillary Clinton, 50.8% to 45.2%.

In terms of money, the contest between Republican Heisman Trophy winner Hershel Walker and Democratic U.S. Senator Rafael Warnock has been tilting in Warnock’s favor.

Walker has a significant monetary deficit. The Federal Election Commission reported on September 30 that Warnock had raised more than $111 million, while Walker has raised more than $37 million as of October 19. For those keeping score at home, Walker has raised 33.3% as much as the Democratic senator in his first term.

This is comparable to Warnock’s $125 million haul in 2020, when he raised more than $92 million more than then-U.S. Senator Kelly Loeffler. Warnock subsequently defeated Loeffler by a margin of 93,000 votes in a runoff held on January 5, 2021.

More on this story via The Republic Brief:

Last week Walker and Warnock were in a dead heat, but now despite the lower funds, Walker is showing a 5-point lead over Warnock in the Rasmussen poll. A win by Walker is crucial to the Republicans’ winning back control of the U.S. Senate in November. CONTINUE READING…

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