Kari Lake, the Republican candidate for governor of Arizona, may not have originally been successful in her bid to become the next governor of the state, but there is good news for her.
According to a recent survey, Lake is still favored in Copper State and has a strong chance of becoming the state’s next senator. Despite Lake’s court fight over the November governor’s election, an early poll of the 2024 US Senate race in Arizona puts Lake in the lead in a potential three-way contest, suggesting she may win the election if she chooses to run.
Blueprint Polling estimates that Lake has a 4-point edge against Democratic Representative Ruben Gallego and a 22-point lead over incumbent Senator Kyrsten Sinema, who changed her party affiliation from Democrat to Republican.
“An early 2023 survey of likely general election voters illustrates that Senator Kyrsten Sinema’s path to
reelection is both complicated and unprecedented. Sinema runs a distant third in a hypothetical three-way race in the general that also includes 2022 GOP gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake and Democratic
Congressman Ruben Gallego,” according to the survey.
In addition, the poll showed the following findings:
Kari Lake polls at 36% in a three-way Senate race with Gallego and Sinema. The congressman follows closely at 32% while the incumbent polls less than 14%. One in six voters are undecided. Sinema draws support from both Republicans and Democrats—she gets the vote of 15% of Biden 2020 voters and 11% of Trump 2020 voters.
23% of Biden voters remain undecided in the race (compared to 13% of Trump voters), suggesting that some Democrats may be waiting to see how the race shakes out before backing a candidate. Still, Sinema’s best hope for a return to the US Senate may be for the Republican party to nominate a candidate so flawed that moderate and conservative voters would abandon that person for the Independent Sinema.
Sinema gets very little support from Hispanic voters, garnering 3% of their vote (Gallego leads Lake 41%-39% with this group), while Sinema gets the support of 17% of white Arizonans. Notably, Gallego does better with women by about 4% than with men and Sinema enjoys a similar positive differential with men.
Lake continues to fight in court to guarantee that the November election for governor of Arizona was conducted fairly.
Lake filed two appeals pertaining to her November defeat in the Arizona governor’s election. In addition, Lake requested that her case be heard by the Arizona Supreme Court, but the court declined her request.
“Maricopa County Superior Court Judge Peter Thompson ruled against Lake’s challenge after finding the court was not presented with clear and convincing evidence in the widespread misconduct, she alleged influenced the election results,” Fox News reported. “Lake, on Wednesday, filed an appeal with the Appeals Court on Judge Thompson’s ruling. She also filed a motion to send the appeal to the Arizona Supreme Court, asking to skip a step with the Appeals Court. Arizona’s Supreme Court denied the request to transfer the appeal.”
According to the Arizona Supreme Court’s decision, “no good cause appears to transfer the matter to this court.”
On Wednesday night, Lake updated her followers via Twitter: “My court case will be going before the Appeals Court prior to the Arizona Supreme Court because it’s already been scheduled for review. This decision was done without prejudice & I am confident the case will end up in their hands eventually. We’re moving forward.”
My court case will be going before the Appeals Court prior to the Arizona Supreme Court because it's already been scheduled for review.
This decision was done without prejudice & I am confident the case will end up in their hands eventually.
We're moving forward.
— Kari Lake (@KariLake) January 5, 2023
In her appeal, Lake requests that the Arizona Court of Appeals reexamine all ten counts of a case that were dismissed earlier this year by Maricopa County Superior Court Judge Peter Thompson.
In addition, Lake asks the appeals court to reconsider the ruling requiring her to pay Hobbs $33,000 in attorney’s fees.
Hobbs had asked Judge Peter Thompson for punishment against Lake, but the plea was refused.
Despite this, the court granted Hobbs slightly over $33,000 to compensate him for the expenditures he invested in attempting to engage expert witnesses for Lake’s two-day trial disputing the results of the November gubernatorial election.
In his decision, Judge Thompson wrote: “Every one of Plaintiff’s witnesses — and for that matter, Defendants’ witnesses as well — was asked about any personal knowledge of both intentional misconduct and intentional misconduct directed to impact the 2022 General Election. Every single witness before the Court disclaimed any personal knowledge of such misconduct. The Court cannot accept speculation or conjecture in place of clear and convincing evidence.”
On Election Day in Maricopa County, the court received almost 200 statements expressing the hardships of individuals attempting to vote. However, according to Judge Thompson, many of these voters were allowed to cast ballots.
Judge Thompson decided that Lake’s side failed to demonstrate that voters were refused votes on Election Day.