Joe Biden is a lock to win the upcoming Democratic primary, despite his disastrous presidency, so long as former first lady Michelle Obama remains out of the race.
In a hypothetical matchup, Democratic voters would choose Obama (48 percent) over Biden (36 percent), with 16 percent undecided. This is the conclusion of a poll published by The Center Square on Saturday, which found that Democratic voters would choose Obama over Biden.
According to a poll conducted in conjunction with Noble Predictive Insights, the wife of former President Barack Obama obtains significant support from women, voters without children, and voters under the age of 55.
“Biden is pretty safe in the Democratic primary,” Noble Predictive Insights CEO Mike Noble told Center Square. “However, he’d better make sure Michelle Obama is on his Christmas card list.”
The president is the clear frontrunner to win his party’s primary against the current generation of candidates, as 68 percent of Democrats prefer Joe Biden to Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and 16 percent are undecided.
Similarly, 67 percent of voters would choose the president over author Marianne Williamson (9 percent), according to the survey.
In a hypothetical matchup, Biden defeats other Democrats, including Vice President Kamala Harris, California Governor Gavin Newsom, Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, and two-time unsuccessful presidential candidate Hillary Clinton.
2024 National Democratic Primary:
Biden 67% (+58)
Biden 68% (+52)
Biden 63% (+53)
Biden 68% (+59)
de Blasio 9%
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) August 20, 2023
From July 31 to August 3, 2,500 registered electors, including 1,000 Democrats, 1,000 Republicans, and 500 independents, participated in the survey. Plus or minus 2.4% was the margin of error for the total sample, with each political group independently weighted.
Despite the growing influence-peddling scandal involving his troubled son Hunter Biden, Biden will likely breeze through his party’s primary election. Obviously, this is not saying much given the deficient Democratic primary field.
In addition, despite the president and his corporate media allies downplaying the Hunter scandal, it is harming his reelection campaign.
“There’s a reason why his numbers are the way they are,” a Democratic strategist told NBC News on condition of anonymity.
“It’s not just the economy,” the strategist said of Biden’s low job approval ratings. “It’s not because people are just concerned about inflation. It’s not just because people are concerned about his age. His brand has been damaged by [Hunter] and those around him.”
“The recent revelations with Hunter Biden really are in conflict with the current perception of his image of being squeaky-clean,” he told NBC News. “I think this potentially impacts his image.”
As a reminder, Biden’s presidency is already under fire due to his administration’s introduction of crushing inflation, horrifying crime, daily border incursions, and escalating geopolitical unrest. Under normal conditions, an accumulation of allegations of foreign bribery would be the final straw that breaks the camel’s back.