There is an undeniable frontrunner in the 2024 Republican presidential primary in the first state to vote.
Former President Donald Trump leads decisively in a Thursday Emerson College poll of Iowa Republicans.
Sixty-two percent of Iowa Republicans who participate in caucuses support Trump.
His closest rival, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, has 20% support, which is less than a third of Trump’s.
According to the polls, DeSantis has a long way to go before the primary is competitive. It is widely believed that the governor is the only Republican with a realistic chance of dethroning Trump in a presidential primary.
DeSantis, despite last night, is the most serious rival to Trump for the GOP nomination.
But let’s not gloss over that he is a LONG way behind.
New poll out of Iowa this morning from the reputable @EmersonPolling:
Trump 62, DeSantis 20 pic.twitter.com/PSYrpkvLjb
— Niall Stanage (@NiallStanage) May 25, 2023
However, the survey of Iowa Republicans was conducted between May 19 and 22 — prior to DeSantis’ formal presidential campaign announcement on Wednesday.
In the survey, a smattering of alternative Republicans receive less than 20 percent of the vote.
In a tentative general election matchup, Trump also holds a sizable lead over President Joe Biden. Trump leads his own successor in a poll by 49 percent to 38 percent.
In another matchup, DeSantis leads Biden 45 percent to 38 percent.
Trump’s victory in Iowa in 2020 cemented the state’s alignment with the Republican Party. Mitt Romney was the final Republican candidate in the 2012 presidential election to lose Iowa.
Latest Iowa Caucus poll results: pic.twitter.com/D2RcAoaxrR
— MAGA War Room (@MAGAIncWarRoom) May 25, 2023
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